[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 03 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Feb 4 10:30:34 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Feb    63    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      60
Feb      50
Mar      51


2. FORECAST (04 FEBRUARY - 06 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Feb    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10%
05 Feb    65    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
06 Feb    65    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: HF conditions stayed mostly normal on 3 February in 
the Aus/NZ regions with some periods of minor to significant 
MUF enhancements in the Northern regions and minor MUF depressions 
in the Southern regions. Minor to mild degradations in HF conditions 
and MUF depressions in Aus/NZ regions may be possible in this 
region due to the possibility of some rise in geomagnetic activity 
levels on this day. Mostly normal HF conditions may be expected 
on 5 and 6 February.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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