[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 07 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 07 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/07 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (07 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
07 Feb    94    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 45% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      60
Feb      50
Mar      51


2. FORECAST (08 FEBRUARY - 10 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
08 Feb    75    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%
09 Feb    75    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%    
10 Feb    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Minor to moderate MUF enhancements were observed across 
Aus/NZ regions during the last 24 hours (07 Feb). Short wave 
fadeouts are possible in the sunlit hemisphere 08-10 February. 
Minor to mild degradation in HF conditions and depressions in 
MUFs in the Aus/NZ regions may be possible on 08 and 09 February 
due to expected enhancements in geomagnetic activity levels on 
these days. Mostly normal HF conditions are expected on 10 February.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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