[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 25 October 14 issued 2330 UT on 25 Oct 2014

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Oct 26 10:30:42 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/25 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (25 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
25 Oct   115    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  X1.0    1709UT  probable   all    South American/Atlantic

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-60%
      09-17, 21 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
      00-02, 11-12, 21-23 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
      10-13, 17 UT at Darwin and 20-30% 11-13, 16-18
      UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Some enhancements
      to 25% 11-19 UT. Night spread F at Hobart.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
      No Scott Base data 12-23 UT.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      90
Oct      86
Nov      83


2. FORECAST (26 OCTOBER - 28 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
26 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
27 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
28 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 53 was issued on 25 
October and is current for 25-27 Oct. Possible sudden ionospheric 
disturbances (SWFs) over the forecast period.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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