[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 24 October 14 issued 2330 UT on 24 Oct 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/24 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (24 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
24 Oct   109    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M4.0    0748UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  X3.2    2141UT  probable   all    East Pacific/North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with 20-40%
      enhancements 12-17, 20-21 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 35-50% 00-05 UT then near predicted
      monthly values to 20% enhanced.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
      12-14 UT at Townsville and 20-35% 10-13, 20-22 UT
      at Darwin.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Some enhancements to
      25% around 09-15 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 40% enhanced.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      90
Oct      86
Nov      83


2. FORECAST (25 OCTOBER - 27 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
25 Oct   115    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
26 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
27 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: A sudden ionospheric disturbance occurred from ~2110 
to ~2320 UT affecting eastern Australia to a greater extent. 
Possible sudden ionospheric disturbances (SWFs) over the forecast 
period.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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