[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 March 14 issued 2330 UT on 01 Mar 2014
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Mar 2 10:30:23 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 MARCH 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (01 MARCH)
Date T index Conditions
01 Mar 147 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1/-- 1333UT possible lower European
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 21 02 2014 0015UT and is in progress
Monthly T index:
Month T index
2. FORECAST (02 MARCH - 04 MARCH)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
02 Mar 130 Normal Near to 25% above predicted
03 Mar 130 Normal Near to 25% above predicted
04 Mar 130 Normal Near to 25% above predicted
COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 16 was issued on 28
February and is current for 1-3 Mar. The numerous active regions
on the disc collectively represent a high probability of M class
flares and moderate short-wave fadeouts (SWFs). Observed MUF's
for most of Australasia were above monthly median values during
the day and night due to increased ionising EUV/X-ray enhanced
by numerous active regions on the disc. Expect this trend to
continue for the next three days.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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