[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 07 January 14 issued 2337 UT on 07 Jan 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/07 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (07 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
07 Jan   135    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0    0353UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M7.2    1013UT  probable   lower  European
  X1.2    1832UT  probable   all    East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 06 01 2014 2000UT and is in progress
 and, 100MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0820UT 06/01, Ended at 1710UT 06/01
 and, 100MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 08 01 2014 0715UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      130
Jan      73
Feb      71


2. FORECAST (08 JANUARY - 10 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
08 Jan   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
09 Jan   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
10 Jan   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 1 was issued on 6 
January and is current for 7-9 Jan. Near predicted monthly values 
to moderately enhanced MUFs were observed over the last 24 hours 
in the Aus/NZ region. MUFs are expected to remain at or above 
predicted monthly values for the next 3 days, with some MUF depressions 
at high latitudes on 10-Jan due to an expected increase in geomagnetic 
activity. Short wave fadeouts are possible for the next 3 days.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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