[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 08 January 14 issued 2330 UT on 08 Jan 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/08 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (08 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
08 Jan   140    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.6    0347UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 06 01 2014 2000UT and is in progress
 and, 100MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 2015UT 07/01, Ended at 1215UT 08/01

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      130
Jan      73
Feb      71


2. FORECAST (09 JANUARY - 11 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
09 Jan   130    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
10 Jan    80    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
11 Jan   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 1 was issued on 6 
January and is current for 7-9 Jan. IPS Preliminary HF Communications 
Warning 2 was issued on 8 January and is current for 10 Jan only. 
MUFs were moderately enhanced across the Aus/NZ region over the 
last 24 hours. Some sporadic-E was observed 16-19 UT at mid latitudes. 
Depressed periods are likely on 10-Jan, especially at high latitudes, 
due to an expected increase in geomagnetic activity.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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