[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 06 January 14 issued 2333 UT on 06 Jan 2014
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Jan 7 10:33:58 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (06 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions
06 Jan 124 Normal
Flares: none.
MUFs:
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 06 01 2014 2000UT and is in progress
and, 100MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0820UT 06/01, Ended at 1710UT 06/01
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Dec 130
Jan 73
Feb 71
2. FORECAST (07 JANUARY - 09 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
07 Jan 115 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
08 Jan 100 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
09 Jan 110 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: Near predicted monthly values to moderately enhanced
MUFs were observed over the last 24 hours in the Aus/NZ region.
MUFs are expected to remain at or above predicted monthly values
for the next 3 days, with some MUF depressions at high latitudes
on 7-8 January due to an expected increase in geomagnetic activity.
Short wave fadeouts are possible for the next 3 days.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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