[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 06 January 14 issued 2333 UT on 06 Jan 2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Jan 7 10:33:58 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (06 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
06 Jan   124    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 06 01 2014 2000UT and is in progress
 and, 100MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0820UT 06/01, Ended at 1710UT 06/01

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      130
Jan      73
Feb      71


2. FORECAST (07 JANUARY - 09 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
07 Jan   115    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
08 Jan   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
09 Jan   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Near predicted monthly values to moderately enhanced 
MUFs were observed over the last 24 hours in the Aus/NZ region. 
MUFs are expected to remain at or above predicted monthly values 
for the next 3 days, with some MUF depressions at high latitudes 
on 7-8 January due to an expected increase in geomagnetic activity. 
Short wave fadeouts are possible for the next 3 days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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