[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 January 14 issued 2330 UT on 03 Jan 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Jan   109    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/-- 02/2218UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 29 12 2013 1905UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      130
Jan      73
Feb      71


2. FORECAST (04 JANUARY - 06 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Jan   125    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
05 Jan   130    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
06 Jan   135    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions were observed over the last 
24 hours in the Aus/NZ region with short wave fadeouts late during 
the UT day. Periods of sporadic E were also observed. HF conditions 
are expected to gradually improve over the next 24 hours (4 January) 
as the geomagnetic activity is expected to gradually decline 
over this period. Normal HF conditions may be expected on 5 and 
6 January.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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