[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 January 14 issued 2330 UT on 02 Jan 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Jan    88    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.7    0234UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  
MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 29 12 2013 1905UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      130
Jan      73
Feb      71


2. FORECAST (03 JANUARY - 05 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Jan   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
04 Jan   130    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
05 Jan   130    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions were observed over the last 
24 hours in the Aus/NZ region. Periods of sporadic E were also 
observed. HF conditions are expected to gradually improve over 
the next 3 days as the geomagnetic activity is expected to gradually 
decline over this period.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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