[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 January 14 issued 2331 UT on 01 Jan 2014
rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Jan 2 10:31:36 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (01 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions
01 Jan 106 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M9.9 1852UT probable lower East Pacific/
Cocos Island Region:
No data available during local day.
No data available during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 29 12 2013 1905UT and is in progress
Monthly T index:
Month T index
2. FORECAST (02 JANUARY - 04 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
02 Jan 90 Normal-fair Near predicted monthly values/depressed
5 to 20%
03 Jan 120 Normal Near predicted monthly values
04 Jan 120 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: IPS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 1 was issued
on 31 December and is current for 2 Jan only. Minor to moderate
MUF enhancements were observed over the last 24 hours in the
Aus/NZ regions. Periods of sporadic E were also observed. The
M6 flare of 31 December and M9.9 flare of 01 January caused short
wave fadeouts. Minor to moderate degradations in HF conditions
and MUF depressions may be expected in this region on 02 January
due to an expected rise in geomagnetic activity levels on this
day. HF conditions may slowly recover to mostly normal levels
on 03 and 04 January.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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