[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 January 14 issued 2330 UT on 04 Jan 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/04 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Jan   124    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M4/--    1946UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
Fadeout also observed at 2252UT due to M-flare in East Pacific/North American
regions.
Another fadeout in progress at the time of writing this report in East
Pacific/North American regions.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      130
Jan      73
Feb      71


2. FORECAST (05 JANUARY - 07 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Jan   130    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
06 Jan   135    Normal           Near to 25% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
07 Jan   135    Normal           Near to 25% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions were observed over the last 
24 hours in the Aus/NZ region with short wave fadeouts late during 
the UT day because of M-class flares. Periods of presence of 
sporadic E layers were also observed. HF conditions are expected 
to be mostly normal over the next 3 days (5 to 7 January) with 
the possibility of short wave fadeouts.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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