[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 21 February 14 issued 2347 UT on 21 Feb 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/21 FEBRUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (21 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
21 Feb    82    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available 
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0840UT 20/02, Ended at 1005UT 20/02
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1040UT 20/02, Ended at 1110UT 20/02
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 21 02 2014 0015UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      119
Feb      75
Mar      75


2. FORECAST (22 FEBRUARY - 24 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
22 Feb    85    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
23 Feb    80    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
24 Feb    95    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Enhanced HF conditions observed for Northern AUS regions 
during local day and night. MUF's ranging from near predicted 
monthly values to depressed by 15% observed for Southern AUS/NZ 
and Antarctic regions with notable disturbed periods for Antarctic 
regions due to recent elevated geomagnetic activity. MUF's are 
expected to range from near monthly predicted values to enhanced 
by ~15% for Northern AUS/Equatorial regions over the next 24 
hours. MUF's expected to be to near monthly predicted values 
to depressed by 15% for Southern AUS/NZ and Antarctic regions 
for the next 3 days with continued disturbed conditions for Antarctic 
regions. Further short-wave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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