[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 20 February 14 issued 2353 UT on 20 Feb 2014
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 21 10:53:08 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/20 FEBRUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (20 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions
20 Feb 83 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M3.0 0802UT possible lower Mid East/Indian
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available
Niue Island Region:
No data available
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0840UT 20/02, Ended at 1005UT 20/02
and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1040UT 20/02, Ended at 1110UT 20/02
and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 21 02 2014 0015UT and is in progress
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Jan 119
Feb 75
Mar 75
2. FORECAST (21 FEBRUARY - 23 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
21 Feb 95 Normal-fair Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
22 Feb 90 Normal Near predicted monthly values
23 Feb 100 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: Enhanced HF conditions observed for Northern AUS regions
during local day and night. Depressed MUF's observed for Southern
AUS/NZ regions during local night as well as occasional disturbed
periods during local day. Disturbed ionospheric conditions for
Antarctic regions due to geomagnetic storm activity. MUF's are
expected to range from near monthly predicted values to enhanced
by ~15% for Northern AUS regions over the next 24 hours. Depressed
MUF's to near monthly predicted values expected for Southern
AUS/NZ regions for the next 48hours hours and continued disturbed
conditions for Antarctic regions. Mostly normal ionospheric support
expected for 23Feb for Southern AUS/NZ and Northern AUS/Equatorial
regions. Further short-wave fadeouts are possible.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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