[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 19 February 14 issued 2352 UT on 19 Feb 2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Feb 20 10:52:11 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/19 FEBRUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (19 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
19 Feb   113    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      119
Feb      75
Mar      75


2. FORECAST (20 FEBRUARY - 22 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
20 Feb   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
21 Feb   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
22 Feb   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Enhanced HF conditions observed for Southern AUS/NZ 
and Northern AUS regions during local day. Depressed MUF's observed 
for Southern AUS/NZ regions during local night and disturbed 
ionospheric conditions for Antarctic regions due to geomagnetic 
storm activity. MUF's are expected to range from near monthly 
predicted values to enhanced by ~15% for Northern AUS regions 
over the next 24 hours. Depressed MUF's to near monthly predicted 
values expected for Southern AUS/NZ regions for the next 24 hours 
and continued disturbed conditions for Antarctic regions. Normal 
to enhanced ionospheric support expected for 21Feb-22Feb for 
Southern AUS/NZ and Northern AUS/Equatorial regions. Further 
short-wave fadeouts are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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