[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 October 13 issued 2352 UT on 02 Oct 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Oct    67    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0450UT 30/09, Ended at 0440UT 02/10

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (03 OCTOBER - 05 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Oct    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 20%
04 Oct    72    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
05 Oct    72    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 24 was issued 
on 2 October and is current for 3-4 Oct. Noted enhanced to normal 
HF conditions during local daytime hours with minor depressions 
during local night time hours in the Australian regions due to 
geomagnetic storm early in the UT day. Expect a return to near 
predicted MUF values today as the ionosphere recovers.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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