[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 October 13 issued 2330 UT on 03 Oct 2013

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 4 09:30:26 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Oct    55    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0450UT 30/09, Ended at 0440UT 02/10

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (04 OCTOBER - 06 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Oct    72    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
05 Oct    72    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
06 Oct    72    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 24 was issued 
on 2 October and is current for 3-4 Oct. Note CME arrived early, 
therefore HF conditions returned to normal predicted values 
earlier than expected.  Expect a return to near predicted MUF 
values for the next three days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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