[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 October 13 issued 2350 UT on 01 Oct 2013

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Oct 2 09:50:10 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Oct    80    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 30 09 2013 1450UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (02 OCTOBER - 04 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Oct    70    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
03 Oct    60    Poor             Near predicted monthly values    
04 Oct    50    Fair             20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions in the Australian region 
01 October. Expect similar conditions today, 02 October. On 03-04 
October expect some significant depressions due to impending 
geomagnetic storm.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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