[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 May 13 issued 2330 UT on 14 May 2013
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed May 15 09:30:21 EST 2013
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 MAY 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (14 MAY)
Date T index Conditions
14 May 88 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
X3.2 0111UT probable all West Pacific
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 55% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Predicted Monthly T index for May: 69
2. FORECAST (15 MAY - 17 MAY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
15 May 90 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
16 May 70 Normal Near predicted monthly values
17 May 70 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 9 was issued on 13
May and is current for 14-15 May. A short-wave fadeout, peaking
at 0111UT was observed on 14-May, centred over the West Pacific
and affecting all of mainland Australia. Otherwise, mostly normal
ionospheric support observed over the AUS/NZ region for the last
24 hours. MUFs expected to be near predicted monthly values 15-May,
with a chance of depressed periods for Southern AUS/NZ regions
16-17 May. Short wave fadeouts possible next two days with a
reasonable chance of isolated M and X flares from solar active
regions.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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