[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 13 May 13 issued 2330 UT on 13 May 2013
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue May 14 09:30:20 EST 2013
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 MAY 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (13 MAY)
Date T index Conditions
13 May 76 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1.2 12/2246UT possible lower East Pacific/
North American
X1.8 0217UT probable all E. Asia/Aust.
M1.3 1204UT possible lower European
X2.9 1605UT probable all South American/
Atlantic
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Predicted Monthly T index for May: 69
2. FORECAST (14 MAY - 16 MAY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
14 May 85 Normal Near predicted monthly values
15 May 70 Normal Near predicted monthly values
16 May 70 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 9 was issued on 13
May and is current for 14-15 May. Mostly normal ionospheric support
observed over the AUS/NZ region for the last 24 hours. MUFs expected
to be near predicted monthly values 14-May, with a chance of
depressed periods for Southern AUS/NZ regions 15-16 May. Short
wave fadeouts possible next two days with a reasonable chance
of isolated M and X flares from solar active regions.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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