[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 May 13 issued 2337 UT on 12 May 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 MAY 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 May    74    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.9    2033UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.2    2246UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for May:  69


2. FORECAST (13 MAY - 15 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 May    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
14 May    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
15 May    85    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Mostly normal ionospheric support observed over the 
AUS/NZ region for the last 24 hours with only depressed conditions 
observed during local night for Northern AUS regions. MUF's expected 
to be near predicted monthly values over the next 3 days with 
chance of depressed periods for Southern AUS/NZ and Northern 
AUS regions during local night and enhanced periods for Cocos 
and Niue stations during local day. Short wave fadeouts possible 
with reasonable chance of M flares from active regions.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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