[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 July 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z JULY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Jul    64    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 X1/--    0141UT  confirmed  all    E. Asia/Aust.
 X1/--    1824UT  probable   all    East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day,
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by upto 45% with periods of 
      significant degradations. 


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:  39
2. FORECAST (16 JULY - 18 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Jul    50    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10% 
17 Jul    58    Normal           near predicted monthly values/enhanced 
                                 5 to 10%.     
18 Jul    58    Normal           near predicted monthly values/enhanced 
                                 5 to 10%.    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 27 was issued on 
14 July and is current for interval 15-16 July. Minor to 
mild degradations in HF conditions and depressions in MUFs 
may be observed at times on 16 July, particulary in the 
Southern Aus/NZ regions due to a possible rise in geomagnetic 
activity during this period. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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