[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 July 04

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Jul 15 09:58:01 EST 2004


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z JULY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Jul    57    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M6/1N    0523UT  probable   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
 M1/SF    1816UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near perdicted monthly values to enhanced upto 35%
      with periods of significant degradations. 


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:  39
2. FORECAST (15 JULY - 17 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Jul    44    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10% 
16 Jul    40    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%     
17 Jul    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 27 was issued on 
14 July and is current for interval 15-16 July. Minor to 
mild degradation in HF conditions and depressions in MUFs 
may be observed at times on 15 and 16 July, particulary 
in the Southern Aus/NZ regions due to an ancticipated rise 
in geomagnetic activity during this period. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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