[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 13 July 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 13/2330Z JULY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (13 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
13 Jul    56    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M6/--    0017UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
 M5/1N    0848UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
 M6/1B    1932UT  probable   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
 M2/--    1208UT  possible   lower  European
 M1/SF    1838UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:  39
2. FORECAST (14 JULY - 16 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
14 Jul    45    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
15 Jul    30    Normal-Fair      depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
16 Jul    30    Normal-Fair      depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 26 was issued on 13 July 
and is current for interval 13-16 July (SWFs) . Mildly degraded 
HF conditions are expected at times for 15-16 July as the result 
of anticipated mildly increased geomagnetic activity. Depressions 
of 10-20% are possible for southern regions. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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