[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 July 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z JULY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Jul    64    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 X1/--    0206UT  confirmed  all    E. Asia/Aust.
 X1/1F    1041UT  probable   all    European
 X3/3B    1355UT  probable   all    European

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 40% with periods of significant
      degradations.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:  39
2. FORECAST (17 JULY - 19 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Jul    44    Normal-fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15% 
18 Jul    58    Normal           near predicted monthly values     
19 Jul    60    Normal           near predicted monthly values/enhanced 
                                 5 to 10%.    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 28 was issued on 
16 July and is current for interval 17-19 July (SWFs) . 
Minor to moderate degradation in HF conditions and depressions 
in MUFs may be observed at times on 17 July, particulary in 
the Southern Aus/NZ regions due to a possible rise in 
geomagnetic activity during this period. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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