[Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (14 June 24) issued 0105 UT on 14 Jun 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 14 JUNE 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx

1. SUMMARY (07 JUNE - 13 JUNE)
Date     07    08    09    10    11    12    13
10cm    184   190   181   178   165   165   170
AFr      20    15     6    11    13     6  (  4)
Aaus     10     8     2     4     4     1  (  1)
T       129   134   123   125   133   124   113

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

07 Jun 
Solar:        R1, with an M4.0 at 0913UT, and an M1.2 at 
              1623UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 07 Jun, a weak (12nT) impulse 
was observed at 1137UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

08 Jun 
Solar:        R2, with an M1.8 at 0028UT, an M3.4 at 0051UT, 
              an M9.7 at 0150UT, an M1.5 at 0528UT, and an M1.2 
              at 0844UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

09 Jun 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.6 at 0701UT, an M1.2 at 0820UT, 
              and an M1.0 at 2018UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Jun 
Solar:        R3, with an M3.3 at 0609UT, an M2.2 at 1007UT, 
              an M5.3 at 1058UT, an X1.5 at 1108UT, an M1.3 at 
              1329UT, and an M9.5 at 1840UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 10 Jun, a weak (8nT) impulse 
was observed at 1719UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 45% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

11 Jun 
Solar:        R0
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

12 Jun 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.2 at 2246UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

13 Jun 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.2 at 2246UT, and an M3.2 at 
              1645UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 50% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (14 JUNE - 20 JUNE)
Solar: 
R0-R1

Geomagnetic:  
G0, chance G1 on 15-Jun. G0, chance G1-G2 on 16-Jun. G0 on other days.

Frequencies:  
briefly depressed after local dawn on 16 Jun
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au