[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (14 September 01)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 14 SEPTEMBER 2001, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (07 SEPTEMBER - 13 SEPTEMBER)
Date     07    08    09    10    11    12    13
10cm    226   250   236   245   250   235   240
AFr       4     5     7     5    12     9 ( 15)
Aaus      2     3     3     2     9    10 ( 10)
T       146   154   147   142   145   145   140

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

07 Sep 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1/1F at 1538UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 35% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
     Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 55% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 65% over the UT day.

08 Sep 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1/SF at 0457UT, and an M1/SF at 1923UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15-40% during local day,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15-35% during local day,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

09 Sep 
Solar:        high, with an M1/2B at 0240UT, an M3/1N at 1516UT, an M2/SN at
1526UT, an M2/2B at 1841UT, and an M9.5/2N at 2045UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30% during local day,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

10 Sep 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.

11 Sep 
Solar:        moderate, with an M2 at 0111UT, an M1 at 0704UT, and an M4/SF at
2036UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15-40% during local day,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 35% over the UT day.

12 Sep 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Ranged by -15 to 15% over the UT day.

13 Sep 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
 
2. FORECAST (14 SEPTEMBER - 20 SEPTEMBER)
Solar: Moderate

Geomagnetic:  Mostly Quiet with Unsettled to Active intervals possible.

Frequencies:  Near predicted monthly values. SWFs probable early in week.

PEASE NOTE: 
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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