[Ips-whfpr] SWS Weekly Prop. Report (09 February 22) issued 0021 UT on 09 Feb 2022
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Feb 9 11:21:50 EST 2022
SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 09 FEBRUARY 2022 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (02 FEBRUARY - 08 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions
02 Feb 77 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 115% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
03 Feb 70 Normal-poor
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Enhanced by 70% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
04 Feb 49 Normal-fair
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
05 Feb 2 Fair-poor
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Depressed by 45% during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to
50% during 13-17 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 25% during local day.
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.
06 Feb 50 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 40% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
07 Feb 62 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 40% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
08 Feb 71 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for February: 38
2. FORECAST (09 FEBRUARY - 15 FEBRUARY)
MUFS: mild depressions possible on 10-11 Feb and 14-15 Feb.
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.
Propagation conditions: Normal-fair on 10-11 Feb, 14-14 Feb. Otherwise normal.
SWFs are unlikely.
T index: 30 for 10-11 Feb and 14-15 Feb, otherwise at or above per monthly
prediction
3. OUTLOOK (16 FEBRUARY - 18 MARCH)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
Mildly degraded 10-11 Feb and 14-15 Feb.
PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Space Weather Services email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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