[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (04 November 15) issued 0152 UT on 04 Nov 2015

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 04 NOVEMBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (28 OCTOBER - 03 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
28 Oct   64      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed 20% around local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Darwin depressed 20% around local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

29 Oct   71      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Briefly depressed 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Darwin enhanced 15% local night.
      Townsville depressed 15% around local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

30 Oct   63      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Townsville depressed 10% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

31 Oct   66      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed to 30% 02-07UT.
      Enhanced to 20% 08-11UT.
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed 20% around local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Darwin enhanced 30% local night.
      Townsville depressed 10% 03-07UT.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Mildly depressed after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

01 Nov   66      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced 30% 09-11UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Nov   46      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

03 Nov   55      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  66

2. FORECAST (04 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: briefly depressed after local dawn on 6 Nov,  8 Nov
Depressed 30% on 4-5 Nov
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.

Propagation conditions: Fair on 6 Nov,  8 Nov. Fair-Poor on 5 Nov. Poor on 4
Nov. Otherwise normal. SWFs probable early in week.

T index: 66
IPS HF Communications Warning 66 was issued on 2 November and 
is current for 3-5 Nov. IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 67 
was issued on 3 November and is current for 3-4 Nov.

3. OUTLOOK (11 NOVEMBER - 11 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
11-12 Nov, 28 Nov - 5 Dec

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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