[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (11 January 12) issued 0204 UT on 11 Jan 2012

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 11/0200Z JANUARY 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (04 JANUARY - 10 JANUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
04 Jan  105      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 25%
      00-04, 15-17 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 30%
      04-08 UT and depressions to 25% 20-21 UT at Darwin and
      enhancements to 45% 02-09 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with occasional enhancements
      to 25%.

05 Jan  115      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 30% at
      Darwin 17-18 UT. Enhancements at Townsville to 50% 09-19 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

06 Jan  104      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 45%
      13-18 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40% at
      Darwin 07-12 UT and to 30% at Townsville 06-10 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.

07 Jan   94      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40%
      13-17 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 25%
      02-04 UT and to 35% 17-18 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

08 Jan  112      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40%
      13-18 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 50% 04-17
      UT at Darwin. Enhancements to 30% 11-16 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with occasional enhancements
      to 25%. Depressions to 25% at some Brisbane, Learmonth and
      Norfolk Is. 19-22 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.

09 Jan   84      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20% 00-02UT. Depressed 15% 03-05UT.
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Sporadic-E observed after local dawn Brisbane, 
      Sydney, Canberra. 
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Jan   83      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Darwin enhanced to 60% 04-16UT.
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  76
2. FORECAST (11 JANUARY - 17 JANUARY) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs
T index:  76

3. OUTLOOK (18 JANUARY - 17 FEBRUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
No signficant degraded periods expected.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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