[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (04 January 12) issued 2341 UT on 03 Jan 2012

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 04/0200Z JANUARY 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (28 DECEMBER - 03 JANUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
28 Dec  137      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

29 Dec  125      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

30 Dec   85      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data. 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

31 Dec   97      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data. 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

01 Jan  100      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data. 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Jan  115      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 25%
      00-01 and 04 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values at Darwin 00-15 UT. No data
      thereafter. No Townsville data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 30%
      mostly after 13 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

03 Jan  124      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Occasional enhancements to
      30%, 15-23 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 35% at
      Darwin 04-08 and 16-18 UT and at Townsville 03-13 and
      16-18 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 35%
      mostly 00-14 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values. Occasional depressions and
      enhancements to 30%.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  76
2. FORECAST (04 JANUARY - 10 JANUARY) 
MUFS: Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced. 
Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs.
T index: 110

3. OUTLOOK (11 JANUARY - 10 FEBRUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: No signficant
  degraded periods expected.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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