[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (24 June 09)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Jun 24 12:31:29 EST 2009


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 24/0200Z JUNE 2009 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (17 JUNE - 23 JUNE)
Date   T index   Conditions        
17 Jun   -3      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressions of 15-35% at Vanimo. Near predicted
      monthly values at Niue with depressions to 30% 01-05,
      15-17 and 22-23 UT. Night spread F observed at Niue.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressions of 15-30% 00-09 UT then near predicted
      monthly values. Night spread F observed at most
      stations.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 45%
      08-20 UT observed at Canberra, Christchurch, Hobart and
      Sydney. Depressions to 30% observed at Norfolk Is.
      15-19 UT. Night spread F observed at Brisbane and
      Norfolk Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30% at
      Casey 06-10 UT.

18 Jun   -3      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressions to 40% 00-17 UT then near predicted
      monthly values at Vanimo. Near predicted monthly
      values at Niue apart from depressions to 30% 02-05 UT.
      Night spread F observed at both stations.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      mostly around 00-06, 16-21 UT. Some night spread F
      observed.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30%
      03-06, 12-15 UT at Brisbane and 11-17 UT at Norfolk
      Is. Night spread F observed at both stations.
      Enhancements to 40% at other stations 08-20 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

19 Jun    4      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day,
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

20 Jun   -3      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

21 Jun   -2      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 25-35%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

22 Jun   -7      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

23 Jun   -9      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   5
2. FORECAST (24 JUNE - 30 JUNE) 
MUFS: MUF depressions of 10%-20% expected for low-mid
latitudes. Disturbed periods expected for high latitudes
over the forecast period.

Propagation conditions: Mostly normal. No SWFs expected.

T index:   5

3. OUTLOOK (01 JULY - 31 JULY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
No signficant degraded periods expected.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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