[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (24 June 09)
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Jun 24 12:31:29 EST 2009
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 24/0200Z JUNE 2009 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (17 JUNE - 23 JUNE)
Date T index Conditions
17 Jun -3 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Depressions of 15-35% at Vanimo. Near predicted
monthly values at Niue with depressions to 30% 01-05,
15-17 and 22-23 UT. Night spread F observed at Niue.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressions of 15-30% 00-09 UT then near predicted
monthly values. Night spread F observed at most
stations.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 45%
08-20 UT observed at Canberra, Christchurch, Hobart and
Sydney. Depressions to 30% observed at Norfolk Is.
15-19 UT. Night spread F observed at Brisbane and
Norfolk Is.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30% at
Casey 06-10 UT.
18 Jun -3 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Depressions to 40% 00-17 UT then near predicted
monthly values at Vanimo. Near predicted monthly
values at Niue apart from depressions to 30% 02-05 UT.
Night spread F observed at both stations.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
mostly around 00-06, 16-21 UT. Some night spread F
observed.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30%
03-06, 12-15 UT at Brisbane and 11-17 UT at Norfolk
Is. Night spread F observed at both stations.
Enhancements to 40% at other stations 08-20 UT.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values.
19 Jun 4 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Depressed by 25% during local day,
Depressed by 40% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
20 Jun -3 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 30% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 45% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
21 Jun -2 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Depressed by 25-35%.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
22 Jun -7 Normal-fair
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day,
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
23 Jun -9 Normal-fair
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Depressed by 25% during local day,
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for June: 5
2. FORECAST (24 JUNE - 30 JUNE)
MUFS: MUF depressions of 10%-20% expected for low-mid
latitudes. Disturbed periods expected for high latitudes
over the forecast period.
Propagation conditions: Mostly normal. No SWFs expected.
T index: 5
3. OUTLOOK (01 JULY - 31 JULY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
No signficant degraded periods expected.
PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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