[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (07 November 07)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/0200Z NOVEMBER 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (31 OCTOBER - 06 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
31 Oct  -15      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.

01 Nov  -22      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.
      Sporadic E observed at Christchurch 02 to 06 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed.
      Sporadic E observed at Macquarie Is. 13 to 15 UT.

02 Nov  -15      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Nov  -26      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Nov  -23      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed at
      Vanimo; 15-45% depressed at Niue.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.

05 Nov  -13      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

06 Nov  -19      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  11
2. FORECAST (07 NOVEMBER - 13 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs
T index:    0
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 27 was issued on 4 November and is current for interval  5-7 November. 
3. OUTLOOK (14 NOVEMBER - 14 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
14-16 Nov, 21-23 Nov based on recurrence of unsettled geomagnetic activity. 

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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