[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (13 October 04)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 13/0200Z OCTOBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (06 OCTOBER - 12 OCTOBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
06 Oct   60      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day with periods
      of degradations.

07 Oct   64      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

08 Oct   64      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by upto 65% during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day with periods 
      of degradations.

09 Oct   53      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 35% over the UT day with periods
      of minor to significant degradations.

10 Oct   57      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day with periods
      of depressions and degradations.

11 Oct   38      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day with periods
      of depressions and degradations.

12 Oct   40      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% with periods of significant
      degradations. 

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  30
2. FORECAST (13 OCTOBER - 19 OCTOBER) 
MUFS: Minor to moderate depressions may be observed on 13 and 14 
	October, especially on the mid and high latitudes. Otherwise
	MUFs near normal. 
Propagation conditions: Minor to moderate degradations possible
	on 13 and 14 October, especially on the mid and high
	latitudes. No SWFs expected. 
T index:   50

3. OUTLOOK (20 OCTOBER - 19 NOVEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
07 to 10 November. 

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


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