[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (08 October 03)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/0200Z OCTOBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (01 OCTOBER - 07 OCTOBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
01 Oct   98      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-25% over the UT day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30% over the UT day.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 10-20% over the UT day.


02 Oct   90      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


03 Oct   92      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


04 Oct   91      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20% over the UT day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30-35% over the UT day.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


05 Oct   80      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.


06 Oct   85      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night and after
      local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


07 Oct   83      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day,
      with isolated periods of disturbance. 


Predicted Monthly T index for October:  54
2. FORECAST (08 OCTOBER - 14 OCTOBER) 
MUFS:      Depressed 20 to 30% on 13-14 Oct, otherwise MUFs 
	   near normal. No SWFs.
Propagation conditions: 
	   Fair 13-Oct Fair-Poor 14-Oct , 
	   otherwise normal. No SWFs
T index:   50

3. OUTLOOK (15 OCTOBER - 14 NOVEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
15-Oct to 23-Oct, 03-Nov to 05-Nov, 09-Nov to 12-Nov.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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