[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (27 February 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/0200Z FEBRUARY 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (20 FEBRUARY - 26 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
20 Feb  161      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 45% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


21 Feb  159      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
     Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
     Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.


22 Feb  152      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 50% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
     Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


23 Feb  170      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
     Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
     Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


24 Feb  186      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 45% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Enhanced by 35% during local night.
     Enhanced by 50% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


25 Feb  174      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
     Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


26 Feb  165      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
     Depressed by 60% after local dawn.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for February: 114
2. FORECAST (27 FEBRUARY - 05 MARCH) 
MUFS: Near predicted monthly values. 
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWfs probable early in week.
T index:  160

3. OUTLOOK (06 MARCH - 05 APRIL)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
01-Apr to 02-Apr.

PEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060