[ips-sf] ASWFC Summary Forecast for 15 May - issued 2326UT/14-May-2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[rwc]

Solar activity on UT day 15-May is expected to be at R1-R2 levels,
with a chance of R3. The solar wind speed is expected to be strong,
with an overall declining trend. G0-G1 geomagnetic conditions are
expected, with a chance of G2 due to a possible impact from a CME
first observed on 13-May. S1 solar radiation conditions are expected.
HF radio communication conditions are now expected to be mostly
normal, with degradations at high latitudes. Maximum usable
frequencies are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15%
enhanced. Shortwave fadeouts are expected.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au