[Ips-hf-warning] ASWFC HF SHORTWAVE FADEOUT WARNING issued 0614 UT on 13 Oct 2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC HF RADIO COMMUNICATIONS WARNING 25/93
ISSUED AT 0612UT/13 OCTOBER 2025
BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE.

Region AR4246 recently produced an R1 level flare. Further flaring 
is possible from this active region, as well as AR4248. Shortwave 
fadeouts are possible.

DEGRADED HF PROPAGATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED
FROM 13-15 OCTOBER 2025
IF COMMS DIFFICULTIES EXPERIENCED TRY A HIGHER FREQUENCY BAND
_____________________________________________________________

SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST       HF COMMS FADEOUTS
13 Oct:  R0-R1                Possible
14 Oct:  R0-R1                Possible
15 Oct:  R0-R1      	      Possible

Note:
An ASWFC MUF depression HF Warning and ASWFC shortwave fadeout 
HF Warning are both current. Shortwave fadeouts degrade 
lower shortwave radio frequencies first (through increased 
ionospheric absorption) and the usual strategy during shortwave 
fadeouts is to try a higher frequency. In contrast, during 
periods of ionospheric MUF depression, the upper frequencies 
are degraded first and the usual strategy is to use a 
lower frequency. 

In general use a lower frequency if you are having trouble
with your normal workable frequency.

If a shortwave fadeout occurs during a period when ionospheric 
MUFs are depressed the available HF bandwidth will be "squeezed", 
with increased absorption raising the lowest usable frequency 
and the ionospheric depression lowering the highest usable 
frequency. Under such conditions it is suggested that the 
HF communicator operates on the highest usable frequency, 
even though this may well be in fact lower than what is normally 
supported for that particular circuit.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au