[Ips-geo-warning] IPS GEOMAGNETIC WARNING

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING 03/24
ISSUED AT 18/0210Z JUNE 2003
BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.

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AN X1.3 FLARE WITH ASSOCIATED HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME)
WAS OBSERVED AT 2356UT ON 15 JUNE. MASS EJECTION WAS
PREDMINATELY EASTWARD. A GLANCING BLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE
EXPERIENCED AT THE EARTH LATE 18/EARLY 19 JUNE.

A LARGE ISOLATED EQUATORIAL WAS AT SOLAR CENTRAL
MERIDIAN ON 16-17 JUNE.

INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED DUE TO
AN ANTICIPATED CORONAL MASS EJECTION ARRIVAL LATE 18/EARLY 19 JUNE, 
AND ALSO DUE TO CORONAL HOLE HIGH SPEED WIND STREAM FROM 19-21 JUNE 2003 
_____________________________________________________________

GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST 
18 Jun:  Initially unsettled, minor storm periods second half UT day (CME).
19 Jun:  Unsettled to active with the chance of minor storm periods (coronal hole).
20 Jun:  Unsettled to active with the chance of minor storm periods (coronal hole).
21 Jun:  Unsettled to active with the chance of minor storm periods (coronal hole).



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