[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 09 March 26 issued 2330 UT on 09 Mar 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Tue Mar 10 10:30:44 AEDT 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/09 MARCH 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 10 MARCH - 12 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 Mar:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Mar: 128/81


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 Mar             11 Mar             12 Mar
Activity     R0, chance of R1   R0, chance of R1   R0, chance of R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   125/78             125/78             120/72

COMMENT: Solar flare activity on UT day 09-Mar was at the R0 
level, with a C7.9 flare observed at 09/2038UT There are currently 
four numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk. All are magnetically 
simple and have no recent M-class flare production history. An 
unnumbered region has developed at around S16W14, with beta magnetic 
characteristics. All other regions are currently either stable 
or in decay. Solar flare activity is expected to be at the R0 
level with a chance of R1 over 10-12 Mar. S0 solar radiation 
storm conditions were observed on UT day 09-Mar. S0 solar radiation 
storm conditions are expected over 10-12 Mar. No CMEs were observed 
on UT day 09-Mar, although limited coronagraph imagery is currently 
available. On disk eruptions were observed in GOES SUVI imagery 
from 09/1052UT and 09/1140UT, however these are directed to the 
west and are not expected to be geoeffective events. The solar 
wind speed was in decline over the UT day 09-Mar, mostly ranging 
between 410 and 525 km/s . The wind speed is currently at around 
430 km/s. The peak total interplanetary field strength (IMF, 
Bt) was 6 nT and the north-south IMF component range (Bz) was 
+5 to -5 nT. The solar wind speed is expected to continue to 
decline towards background levels over 10-12 Mar.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 Mar: G0

Estimated Indices 09 Mar : A   K           
   Australian Region       5   21112222
      Cocos Island         3   21101220
      Darwin               5   21111222
      Townsville           5   21112222
      Learmonth            7   22112232
      Alice Springs        4   10112222
      Gingin               6   21122231
      Canberra             5   20122222
      Kennaook Cape Grim   6   21122222
      Hobart               6   21122222    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 09 Mar :
      Macquarie Island    10   11134322
      Casey               21   35533232
      Mawson              26   43213356

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 Mar : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               8   (Quiet)
      Canberra             8   (Quiet)
      Hobart              12   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              6                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        14
           Planetary             22   5443 4432     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 Mar     7    G0
11 Mar     7    G0
12 Mar     5    G0

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian 
region on UT day 09-Mar. Mostly G1 conditions were observed in 
the Antarctic region, with G2 conditions observed at Mawson. 
G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected over 10-12 Mar.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal         

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
11 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
12 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 09-Mar were 
mostly normal. Propagation conditions are expected to be mostly 
normal over 10-12 Mar.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
09 Mar    96

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 45% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      98
Mar      87
Apr      85

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 Mar    95    Near predicted monthly values
11 Mar    95    Near predicted monthly values
12 Mar    95    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 09-Mar were near predicted monthly values. Spread 
F was observed at Hobart during local night hours. MUFs are expected 
to be near predicted values over 10-12 Mar.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 08 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   6.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.00E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 6%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B5.4

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 08 Mar
Speed: 536 km/sec  Density:    2.1 p/cc  Temp:   179000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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