[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 08 March 26 issued 2330 UT on 08 Mar 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Mon Mar 9 10:30:49 AEDT 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/08 MARCH 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 09 MARCH - 11 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Mar:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Mar: 135/89


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Mar             10 Mar             11 Mar
Activity     R0, chance R1      R0, chance R1     R0, chance R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   135/89             130/84             125/78

COMMENT: Solar activity on UT day 8-Mar was R0, with no solar 
flares. There are currently five numbered sunspot regions on 
the solar disk. Active region (AR) 4381 (N09W40, beta) has shown 
minor growth in its trailer spots this past day, but the main 
spot remains stable. All other regions are currently stable. 
Solar activity is expected to be R0 with a chance for R1 over 
9-11 Mar. 

No CMEs were observed on UT day 8-Mar. 

S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed on UT day 8-Mar. 
S0 solar radiation storm conditions are expected over 9-11 Mar. 

The solar wind environment on UT day 8-Mar was mildly disturbed 
due to recent coronal hole activity, although the influence from 
this coronal hole is waning. The solar wind speed ranged from
 630 km/s at the start of the day to 500 km/s by the end. The 
peak total interplanetary field strength (IMF, Bt) was 9 nT and 
the north-south IMF component range (Bz) was +5 to -7 nT. The 
solar wind environment is expected to remain at similar levels 
on 9-Mar as the coronal hole effects continue to ease, but also 
due to a CME that is expected to pass close by the Earth. Conditions 
may return to background levels over 10-11 Mar.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Mar: G0

Estimated Indices 08 Mar : A   K           
   Australian Region      12   33323322
      Cocos Island         8   32222321
      Darwin              12   33223323
      Townsville          12   33323322
      Learmonth           14   43323332
      Alice Springs       12   33323322
      Gingin              11   42223322
      Canberra            11   32323322
      Kennaook Cape Grim  12   33323322
      Hobart              13   33323422    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 08 Mar :
      Macquarie Island    35   43636532
      Casey               24   54543322
      Mawson              45   65534555

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 Mar : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            9   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin              53   (Unsettled)
      Canberra            43   (Unsettled)
      Hobart              55   (Unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg        18
           Planetary             26                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        11
           Planetary             18   4332 2344     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Mar    18    G0
10 Mar    14    G0
11 Mar    10    G0

COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions in the Australian region on UT 
day 8-Mar were G0. Geomagnetic conditions were G0-G2 in the Antarctic 
region, and the planetary scale observed an isolated period of 
G1 due to coronal hole effects. Geomagnetic conditions are generally 
expected to be G0 over 9-11 Mar as the coronal hole effects decline.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
10 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 8-Mar were 
mostly normal, with some mild degradations setting in by the 
second half of the day in the southern hemisphere. HF radio propagation 
conditions may be mildly degraded at high latitudes on 9-Mar 
as recent geomagnetic activity settles, and then conditions are 
likely to return to normal over 10-11 Mar.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
08 Mar   104

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      98
Mar      87
Apr      85

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Mar    95    Near predicted monthly values
10 Mar    95    Near predicted monthly values
11 Mar   105    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 8-Mar were near predicted values to 20% enhanced. 
Sporadic-E was observed in Norfolk Island and in Canberra during 
local night hours. MUFs are expected to be mostly near predicted 
values over 9-11 Mar.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 07 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.3E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.5E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.20E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 2%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B5.0

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Mar
Speed: 457 km/sec  Density:    3.1 p/cc  Temp:   149000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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