[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 22 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 22 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Thu Apr 23 09:30:52 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/22 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 22 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 23 APRIL - 25 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: ** YELLOW **
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 22 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 22 Apr: 116/68


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             23 Apr             24 Apr             25 Apr
Activity     R0, chance of R1   R0, chance of R1   R0, chance of R1   
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   120/72             120/72             110/60

COMMENT: Solar flare activity on UT day 22-Apr was at the R0 
level, with no M-class or greater flares observed. There are 
currently four active regions on the visible solar disk, with 
Active Region (AR) 4420 (N16E37, beta-gamma) being the most magnetically 
complex. This region has shown growth over the past 24 hours, 
and has produced numerous C-class flares. The remaining three 
regions appear to be mostly stable or in decay. Solar flare activity 
is forecast to be at the R0 level, with a chance of R1 over 23-25 
Apr, given the recent growth of AR 4420. S0 solar proton conditions 
were observed throughout UT day 22-Apr, with the proton flux 
persisting at background levels across the entire UT day. S0 
solar proton conditions are forecast for 23-25 Apr. No Earth-directed 
coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed over the past UT 
day. A faint, low velocity, east-directed CME was visible from 
22/0736UT, but is not geoeffective. The solar wind speed declined 
over 22-Apr, with speeds starting the UT day between 500-550 
km/s and declining to 450-480 km/s, as past coronal hole high 
speed wind stream effects continued to subside. The interplanetary 
magnetic field strength (IMF, Bt) peaked at 6 nT, with the north-south 
component (Bz) ranging between -4 and +5 nT. The solar wind speed 
is expected to continue to decline over 23-24 Apr, with an increase 
expected on 25-Apr as a new coronal hole high speed wind stream 
connects with Earth.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 22 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 22 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region       1   11011010
      Cocos Island         2   11111010
      Darwin               4   21121012
      Townsville           4   -2122111
      Learmonth            2   10022010
      Alice Springs        1   01011011
      Gingin               2   11021000
      Canberra             1   01011000
      Kennaook Cape Grim   1   01011010
      Hobart               2   11111010    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 22 Apr :
      Macquarie Island     1   11011010
      Casey               12   35331011
      Mawson              12   24232214

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 22 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               8   (Quiet)
      Canberra            11   (Quiet)
      Hobart              18   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 22 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 21 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        14
           Planetary             19   5422 3432     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
23 Apr     8    G0
24 Apr     8    G0
25 Apr    14    G0, chance of G1

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian 
region on UT day 22-Apr, with G0 conditions also reported at 
the planetary level. A single interval of G1 was reported at 
Casey station. G0 conditions are forecast for 23-24 Apr, with 
G0 geomagnetic conditions, with a chance of G1, expected on 25-Apr 
due to an equatorial coronal hole becoming geoeffective.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
22 Apr      Fair           Fair           Fair           

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
23 Apr      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair
24 Apr      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Fair-normal
25 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair

COMMENT: Global ionospheric conditions were fair throughout UT 
day 22-Apr, with degradations seen in the Australian, Asian, 
South African, and European regions. Ionospheric conditions are 
forecast to slowly recover from previous geomagnetic activity, 
with fair to normal conditions on 23-Apr, trending toward normal 
conditions over 24-25 Apr.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
22 Apr    47

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
23 Apr    58    Depressed 15 to 20%/near predicted monthly values
24 Apr    65    Near predicted monthly values
25 Apr    75    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: ASWFC HF Communications Warning 40 was issued on 22 
April and is current for 23 Apr only. Maximum Usable Frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region were depressed by 20-25% over 
UT day 22-Apr, with MUFs near predicted values during local daylight 
hours in the Northern Australian region. Spread-F was observed 
in multiple sites in the Southern Australian region. Depressions 
of up to 15% were reported in the Antarctic region, with depressions 
up to 35% at Niue Island. MUFs are forecast to trend toward predicted 
monthly values over 23-Apr, and remain near predicted values 
over 24-25 Apr.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 21 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   6.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.40E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:10%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B5.1

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 21 Apr
Speed: 515 km/sec  Density:    2.2 p/cc  Temp:   120000 K  Bz:  -2 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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