[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 21 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 21 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Wed Apr 22 09:30:43 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/21 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 21 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 22 APRIL - 24 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 21 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 21 Apr: 112/63


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             22 Apr             23 Apr             24 Apr
Activity     R0, chance R1      R0, chance R1      R0, chance R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   115/66             120/72             120/72

COMMENT: Solar activity on UT day 21-Apr was R0, with no solar 
flares. There are currently three numbered sunspot regions on 
the solar disk. Active region (AR) 4419 (N15W36, beta) remained 
mostly stable, although a new region has begun to grow underneath 
it. New region AR 4420 (N16E52, beta) showed fast growth and 
produced a number of C-class flares. All other sunspots are either 
stable or in decay. Solar activity is expected to be R0, chance 
R1 over 22-24 Apr. 

A CME was observed from 0312 UT associated with a filament liftoff from 
0209 UT in the north. This CME is not expected to impact the Earth. No other 
front-side CMEs were observed in available imagery.

 S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed on UT day 21-Apr. 
S0 solar radiation storm conditions are expected over 22-24 Apr.

 The solar wind environment on UT 
day 21-Apr was mildly disturbed due to ongoing coronal hole effects. 
The solar wind speed ranged from near 450 to 580 km/s. The peak 
total interplanetary field strength (IMF, Bt) was 8 nT and the 
north-south IMF component range was +5 to -6 nT. The solar wind 
environment is expected to return to background conditions on 
22-Apr and remain so over 23-24 Apr.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 21 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 21 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region      12   33123431
      Cocos Island         9   31123420
      Darwin              12   32223432
      Townsville          12   33123422
      Learmonth           19   43224532
      Alice Springs       12   33123431
      Gingin              18   42224532
      Canberra            10   23123421
      Kennaook Cape Grim  16   33133531
      Hobart              14   33124432    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 21 Apr :
      Macquarie Island    23   34245531
      Casey               17   34423432
      Mawson              53   65424666

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 21 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               4   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart              34   (Quiet to unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 21 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg        14
           Planetary             19                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 20 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        13
           Planetary             24   1244 3554     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
22 Apr    14    G0
23 Apr    10    G0
24 Apr     8    G0

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian 
region on UT day 21-Apr. G0-G2 geomagnetic conditions were observed 
in the Antarctic region. The planetary region reached G1 geomagnetic 
conditions. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected over 22-24 
Apr.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
21 Apr      Fair           Fair           Fair           

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
22 Apr      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Fair
23 Apr      Normal         Normal-fair    Normal-fair
24 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 21-Apr were 
degraded for most of the globe in response to brief periods of 
geomagnetic activity. HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 
22-Apr may be mildly degraded, although expected to recover. 
Conditions are expected to be normal over 23-24 Apr.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
21 Apr    34

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
22 Apr    65    Near predicted monthly values to 10-20% depressed
23 Apr    85    Near predicted monthly values to 10-15% depressed
24 Apr   100    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies on UT day 21-Apr were near 
predicted monthly values to 40% depressed. Sites along the east 
coast of Australia were degraded during local night hours, with 
strong spread-F, sporadic-E and weak signals. MUFs are expected 
to begin recovering on 22-Apr, although depressions of 10-20% 
are still possible at local dawn hours. This may continue into 
23-Apr, before returning to normal on 24-Apr.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 20 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.3E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.70E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 5%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B3.4

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 20 Apr
Speed: 487 km/sec  Density:    3.5 p/cc  Temp:   172000 K  Bz:  -3 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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