[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 13 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 13 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Tue Apr 14 09:30:48 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 13 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 14 APRIL - 16 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 13 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 13 Apr:  99/46


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             14 Apr             15 Apr             16 Apr
Activity     R0                 R0                 R0
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   100/48             105/54             110/60

COMMENT: Solar flare activity was at the R0 level on UT day 13-Apr, 
with no significant solar flares observed. There are currently 
four active regions on the visible solar disk, with Active Region 
(AR) 4416 (N18W28, beta) being the largest. This region exhibited 
a redistribution of minor spots over the past 24 hours, but remained 
overall largely stable. AR 4419 (N13E70) has recently rotated 
over the eastern limb, and appears stable, with a beta magnetic 
classification. All other regions appear stable or in decay. 
Solar flare activity is expected to remain at the R0 level through 
14-16 Apr. Solar proton conditions remained at the S0 level throughout 
UT day 13-Apr. S0 solar proton conditions are expected over 14-16 
Apr. A solar eruption was visible on the western limb at 13/1753UT 
in SDO/AIA 304 Å imaging, with a subsequent west-directed coronal 
mass ejection (CME) visible in SOHO/LASCO at 13/1812UT. Preliminary 
analysis suggests this CME is a farside event. However, further 
imaging is required to confirm that this event has no geoeffective 
component. No other geoeffective CMEs were observed in available 
coronagraph imagery over the last 24 hours. The solar wind declined 
over UT day 13-Apr, dropping from approximately 500 km/s to 400 
km/s across the UT day. The interplanetary magnetic field strength 
(IMF, Bt) was largely constant throughout the UT day, peaking 
at 6 nT, with the north-south component (Bz) ranging between 
-4 and +5 nT. The solar wind is expected to continue a slow declining 
trend over 14-16 Apr as the effects of a previous coronal hole 
high speed wind stream continue to wane, with possible mild enhancements 
in solar wind speed due to a southern coronal hole during this 
period.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 13 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 13 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region       1   11100100
      Cocos Island         1   11110000
      Darwin               4   22111111
      Townsville           3   22110011
      Learmonth            2   12111100
      Alice Springs        1   11100001
      Gingin               1   11100100
      Canberra             0   01100000
      Kennaook Cape Grim   1   01100100
      Hobart               1   11100100    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 13 Apr :
      Macquarie Island     0   01000000
      Casey                7   33321101
      Mawson               7   33311102

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 13 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             2   (Quiet)
      Hobart               8   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 13 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 12 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              8   2222 212-     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
14 Apr     6    G0
15 Apr     6    G0
16 Apr     6    G0

COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions in the Australian region were 
at the G0 level throughout UT day 13-Apr. G0 conditions were 
also observed in the Antarctic region and at the planetary level. 
G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected over 14-16 Apr.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
13 Apr      Fair           Fair           Fair           

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
14 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
15 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
16 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair

COMMENT: Global ionospheric conditions were fair on UT day 13-Apr, 
with some degradations observed at various latitudes at different 
times of the UT day due to previous geomagnetic activity. Ionospheric 
conditions improved late in the UT day, and are expected to continue 
to trend towards normal over 14-16 Apr.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
13 Apr    61

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
14 Apr    80    Near predicted monthly values
15 Apr    80    Near predicted monthly values
16 Apr    80    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum Usable Frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region were largely near predicted monthly values on UT day 13-Apr, 
with some depressions of up to 20% in the Southern Australian 
region during local night hours. Some spread-F was observed in 
Hobart and Townsville during local night hours. Ionospheric scintillation 
was observed in Darwin over the interval 13/1249-1310UT. Depressions 
of up to 40% were observed during local night hours at the Cocos 
Islands, with strong sporadic-E also observed. MUFs are expected 
to be near predicted values over 14-16 Apr.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 12 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 6.10E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 8%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B2.2

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 12 Apr
Speed: 507 km/sec  Density:    1.6 p/cc  Temp:   119000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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