[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 09 March 10

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/2330Z MARCH 2010 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 10 MARCH - 12 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 Mar:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Mar:  78/17

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 Mar             11 Mar             12 Mar
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    78/17              78/17              78/17

COMMENT: Solar activity was Very Low over the the last 24 hours. 
Expect Very Low solar activity over the next 3 days. Solar wind 
speed ranged between 410 and 340 and is expected to remain in 
this range or slightly below. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 Mar: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 09 Mar :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   11112111
      Darwin               3   01112102
      Townsville           4   11122111
      Learmonth            4   21112111
      Hobart               3   11112111
      Casey(Ant)           9   23322222
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 Mar : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         1
           Planetary              3   1110 0111     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 Mar     4    Quiet 
11 Mar     4    Quiet 
12 Mar     4    Quiet 

COMMENT: Geomagnetic activity was mostly Quiet over the last 
24 hours. Expect mostly quiet conditions for the next three days. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
12 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
09 Mar    21

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:   7

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 Mar    15    Near predicted monthly values to enhanced 10 
                to 20%. 
11 Mar    15    Near predicted monthly values to enhanced 10 
                to 20%. 
12 Mar    15    Near predicted monthly values to enhanced 10 
                to 20%. 

COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions are expected for the next 
3 days. 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 08 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.7E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 8.10E+04   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 1%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.6

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 08 Mar
Speed: 337 km/sec  Density:    0.6 p/cc  Temp:    69800 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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