[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 07 March 09

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z MARCH 2009 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 08 MARCH - 10 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Mar:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Mar:  69/3


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Mar             09 Mar             10 Mar
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    70/5               70/5               70/5
COMMENT: Solar wind parameters remain at nominal levels. Region 
1014 near the centre of the visible disk is small and shows little 
magnetic complexity. 




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Mar: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 07 Mar :  A   K           
   Australian Region       2   11100111
      Darwin               2   11100102
      Townsville           6   22211222
      Learmonth            2   11100111
      Camden               1   11000011
      Canberra             0   10000001
      Hobart               1   11000111
      Casey(Ant)           6   13321111
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 Mar : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Camden               0   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         0
           Planetary              2   1000 0101     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Mar     3    Quiet 
09 Mar     3    Quiet 
10 Mar     4    Quiet 
COMMENT: Generally quiet geomagnetic conditions observed throughout 
the region. Expect quiet conditions next three days. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Mar      Fair-normal    Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
09 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
10 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
07 Mar    -9

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Variable conditions during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:   3

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Mar   -10    near predicted monthly values/depressed 10 to 
                20% 
09 Mar   -10    near predicted monthly values/depressed 10 to 
                20% 
10 Mar   -10    near predicted monthly values/depressed 10 to 
                20% 
COMMENT: Mild to moderate depressions observed Equatorial/N Aus 
regions. Again a brief (3-4 hours) but significant MUF enhancement 
observed along the dusk terminator, mainly Equatorial stations. 
Expect similar conditions next three days. 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 06 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   6.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.20E+06   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 1%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 06 Mar
Speed: 366 km/sec  Density:    5.3 p/cc  Temp:    46400 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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