[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 09 January 08

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/2330Z JANUARY 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 10 JANUARY - 12 JANUARY

STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN

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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 Jan:  Very low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Jan:  77/16

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 Jan             11 Jan             12 Jan
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    75/13              75/13              70/5

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 Jan: Quiet to unsettled
with active periods at high latitudes. 

Estimated Indices 09 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region       8   32223112
      Darwin               5   22212112
      Townsville          10   32323222
      Learmonth            9   31323122
      Camden               5   22222111
      Canberra             6   21223111
      Hobart               6   22223111
      Casey(Ant)          11   4---2222
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 Jan : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              7                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        11
           Planetary             13   2322 1442     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 Jan     5    Quiet 
11 Jan     5    Quiet 
12 Jan     5    Quiet 

COMMENT: There is still the chance of isolated active periods 
at high latitudes. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jan      Normal         Normal-fair    Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
12 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
09 Jan     4

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30% at Niue
      10-16 UT. Sporadic E observed at Niue 09-17 and 20-21 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Sporadic E observed 00-03
      and 20-23 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  12

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 Jan     5    Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressions 
                to 20% possible at times. 
11 Jan     5    Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressions 
                to 20% possible at times. 
12 Jan     5    Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressions 
                to 20% possible at times. 

COMMENT: Longer distance HF sky wave communications may be affected 
at times due to sporadic E formation. 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 08 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.6E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 5.60E+08   (high fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:24%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 08 Jan
Speed: 620 km/sec  Density:    1.1 p/cc  Temp:   207000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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