[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 07 January 08

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z JANUARY 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 08 JANUARY - 10 JANUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Jan:  Low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Jan:  78/17

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Jan             09 Jan             10 Jan
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    80/20              80/20              75/13

COMMENT: Solar wind parameters remain disturbed due to the passage 
of a coronal hole. Parameters should begin to return to normal 
values later today. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Jan: Mostly quiet to
unsettled with minor storm periods at high latitudes. 

Estimated Indices 07 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region      10   33233112
      Darwin               7   22223112
      Townsville          11   33233222
      Learmonth           11   33233213
      Camden              10   33233112
      Canberra            10   33233112
      Hobart              10   33233112
      Casey(Ant)          17   4--43233
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 Jan : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             2   (Quiet)
      Hobart              10   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             15                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             13   2422 3333     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Jan    10    Mostly quiet to unsettled with the possibility 
                of isolated active levels. 
09 Jan     8    Quiet to unsettled 
10 Jan     5    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Jan      Fair           Fair           Poor-fair      
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
09 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
10 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
07 Jan     3

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      during night hours.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed. Night
      spread F observed.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  12

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Jan     0    depressed 5 to 10%/near predicted monthly values 
09 Jan     5    depressed 5 to 10%/near predicted monthly values 
10 Jan     5    depressed 5 to 10%/near predicted monthly values 

COMMENT: Periods of sporadic E observed at all latitudes, sometimes 
obscuring the F region. Expect summertime sporadic E to continue 
to form. 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 06 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.8E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.30E+07   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 4%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 06 Jan
Speed: 634 km/sec  Density:    1.6 p/cc  Temp:   209000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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