[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 03 June 06
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Jun 4 09:55:32 EST 2006
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z JUNE 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 03 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 04 JUNE - 06 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN MAG:GREEN ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 03 Jun: Very low
Flares: none.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 03 Jun: 76/14
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
04 Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun
Activity Very low Very low Very low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
10.7cm/SSN 75/13 75/13 75/13
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 03 Jun: Quiet
Estimated Indices 03 Jun : A K
Australian Region 4 22211111
Darwin 4 22211111
Learmonth 3 12211100
Culgoora 3 11201111
Camden 5 21112212
Canberra 2 11211001
Hobart 2 11211001
Casey(Ant) 10 33322222
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 03 Jun :
Canberra 58 (Unsettled)
Learmonth 2 (Quiet)
Culgoora 45 (Unsettled)
Hobart 51 (Unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 03 Jun : A
Fredericksburg 5
Planetary 5
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 02 Jun : A K
Fredericksburg 5
Planetary 8 3321 1221
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
04 Jun 14 Unsettled to Active
05 Jun 9 Quiet to Unsettled
06 Jun 10 Quiet to Unsettled
COMMENT: Generally quiet to unsettled conditions expected.
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
03 Jun Normal Normal Normal
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
04 Jun Normal Normal Normal-Fair
05 Jun Normal Normal Normal-Fair
06 Jun Normal Normal Normal-Fair
COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions. Mildly degraded HF conditions
possible at high latitudes.
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date T index
03 Jun 32
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 70% over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for June: 15
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
04 Jun 30 Near predicted monthly values
05 Jun 20 Near predicted monthly values
06 Jun 20 Near to 15% above predicted monthly values
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY
GOES satellite data for 02 Jun
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 1.4E+05
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.6E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.50E+05 (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 0%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
X-ray background: A2.8
ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 02 Jun
Speed: 566 km/sec Density: 2.1 p/cc Temp: 180000 K Bz: 1 nT
(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
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