[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 03 December 06

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Dec 4 10:26:48 EST 2006


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z DECEMBER 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 03 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 04 DECEMBER - 06 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 03 Dec:  Low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 03 Dec:  87/30

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             04 Dec             05 Dec             06 Dec
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    85/27              90/34              90/34

COMMENT: Solar wind speed is currently about 370 km/s. Region 
926 produced a C1 flare at 0325 UT. 

-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 03 Dec: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 03 Dec :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22211221
      Darwin               3   21110112
      Townsville           6   22222221
      Learmonth            5   22210222
      Culgoora             5   12211222
      Camden               3   12110111
      Canberra             4   12210211
      Hobart               -   --------
      Casey(Ant)           5   ---21221
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 03 Dec : 
      Darwin               8   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Camden               8   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 03 Dec : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 02 Dec :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         1
           Planetary              2   0010 1001     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
04 Dec     4    Quiet 
05 Dec     4    Quiet 
06 Dec    10    Mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated active 
                periods. 

COMMENT: A coronal hole is expected to become geo-effective on 
the 6 December. 

-----------------------------------------------------------
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
04 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal
05 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal
06 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
03 Dec     6

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Mostly near predicted monthly values at all latitudes.
   Depressions to 30% observed at Vanimo and Port Moresby
   around 10 to 13 UT.

Predicted Monthly T index for December:   9

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
04 Dec     5    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Dec     5    Near predicted monthly values 
06 Dec     5    Near predicted monthly values 

-----------------------------------------------------------
5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 02 Dec
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   4.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.20E+07 (normal fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 4%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A9.5

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 02 Dec
Speed: NA km/sec  Density:  NA p/cc  Temp:  NA K  Bz:  NA nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
-----------------------------------------------------------


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,confidential
or copyright information.  The views expressed in this message are those of
the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of IPS.
If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. Occasionally IPS sends 
email promoting IPS products and services to its mailing list customers. 
If you do not wish to receive this promotional material please email 
no-spam at ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE"





More information about the ips-dsgr mailing list